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Showing posts with label counting. Show all posts
Showing posts with label counting. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Pala by-election on 23 September, 2019: Who / which party will win?

When there are 6 assembly constituencies in Kerala without a member to represent in the legislative assembly, the announcement of the election commission to hold the by-election to Pala constituency in Kottayam district of Kerala at a separate date before the others has already received criticisms from many people and political leaders. The election commission of India which received wide reproval for its biased stand in the past parliament elections appears to be not bothered about all these allegations. Anyhow as per the decisions of some and the announcements of the EC, the voting to Pala assembly constituency will be held on September 23rd 2019 and the counting of votes will be done on September 27th and the results will be declared on the same day.

Pala bypoll 2019 became necessitated due to the demise of its one and only MLA K M Mani who was its member since the formation of the constituency in 1965 and thereafter until his death in 2019. Though Pala constituency is a strong hold of Kerala Congress (M), the previous victory of K M Many was with a comparatively smaller margin. 

Who (which party) will win in Pala in this election is a million dollar question at this juncture. People are finding it difficult to make their guesswork or express their opinions due to many factors now, as political atmosphere is in a muddled state in Pala. Probably bypoll to Pala may be one of the most interesting byelections in 2019!

The war for chairman's position within the Kerala Congress (M) by Jose K Mani and P J Joseph factions is the biggest challenge to that party in particular and to the UDF in general. If Nisha Jose is announced by Jose K Many, there are chances for P J Joseph to clash and field another candidate. Even this conflict will definitely affect the chances of the the UDF which otherwise can create and encash the K M Mani sympathy wave for a colourful victory.

Another factor that will affect adversely the UDF is the divided stands by the Congress leaders like Sasi Tharoor M P and the attacks by other leaders like K Muraleedharan M P. Disobedience of the leaders to the authority is a major challenge for the party that will distance some nuetral voters from it.

The LDF's Mani C Kappen is an accepted candidate who proved his might in the previous assembly poll battle by reducing considerably the vote margin of K M Mani who was like an undisputed titan. But as the present government by Pinarayi Vijayan has been proving to be a very big failure mainly due to the highhandedness of the police and DYFI/SFI, most of the people are waiting eagerly to see the end of the LDF government in Kerala.

The above conditions will work favourably for the NDA who otherwise has lesser chance to bag a victory in a place like Pala. The candidature of P C Thomas who is accustomed to Pala, the support of P C George who also has considerable hold on Pala (though his stand not predictable) and the huge campaigns of state and national goliaths, etc may make it difficult for predicting the outcome of this election. 

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Vengara by-election 2017. List of Candidates: The winner is...

As the countdown for the Vengara by elections scheduled  to be held on October 11 is nearing, all the parties concerned are holding hectic electioneering and making special strategies, as the political scene this time is bit different from the earlier ones. Vengara Assembly Constituency in Malappuram District of Kerala used to be one of the surest forts of Indian Union Muslim League which is the strongest part of the UDF. But this time as there is a rebel candidate for the IUML who claims to be capable of dividing the voter bank and defeating the official candidate.

The Final List of Contestants after the last date of withdrawal of Nominations:

1. K.N.A Khader (Muslim League) UDF

2. P.P. Basheer   LDF

3. K. Jayachandran  BJP

4. K.C Naseer   SDPI

5. K. Hamsa  IND

As it is a matter of prestige for the ruling LDF and the incumbent UDF to win the seat, it is the desire of the BJP also to increase their vote share to  understand the graph of their growth in Kerala. 

Muslim League is also little worried of the rebels who dared to raise their voice against the leadership in choosing the candidate. If they happen to lose in Vengara, it will be too much for them and the UDF to bear!

The ultimate winner will be decided on the day of the counting of votes. Until the voting is completed anything can happen..!

Your views and comments are welcome: